Tap Space or Tap Screen Just be aware of what could happen. I don’t know if this is going to get upgraded or downgraded, but be weather aware! Usually Day 3 Slight Risks do get upgraded and could be bad. Thank You! (:
Page Link: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html Website Link: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (Copy and Pasted from website) SPC AC 280825 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Tue Nov 28 2023 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND INTO FAR WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some severe, will be possible during the day on Thursday, mainly over southeast Texas. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A shortwave trough will move quickly east across NM and into northwest TX on Thursday, then eject northeastward across OK and into MO overnight. Modest height falls are forecast across much of the southern Plains during the day, but rapid warming aloft will occur over southern parts of TX and LA by mid afternoon as the upper wave ejects. A relatively early risk of severe storms, including a few tornadoes, appears possible mainly from late morning through mid afternoon across southeast TX, while temperatures aloft remain cool and midlevel lapse rates are maximized. A plume of upper 60s F to near 70 F dewpoints will spread inland, with MLCAPE through midday of around 1500 J/kg. Given the warm advection regime and antecedent cooler air mass with high pressure to the east, substantial southerly flow including 50+ kt at 850 mb is forecast, which will enhance shear. Effective SRH looks to be maximized from midday to early afternoon, with values over 300 m2/s2. There appears to be at least a few hours of overlap between the more favorable instability and stronger shear, and during this time, supercells including a couple tornadoes could occur. Early day storms could be substantial and affect air mass quality. However, this event will be driven mainly by moisture advection and isolated severe cells within any larger scale convective area will still have severe potential, including brief tornadoes.
